SCR financial research and prediction April 28, 2009

From our global research division and the subsequent strategic analysts (including projections, the following financial statements) report, the most recent comments:

Observational studies (vitamin D3 Report: Optimizing Financial Research ™ (USA) Investment aggressive):

Theme: high-yield bonds and investment bonds

(1) the relative strength observation: results of the relative strength analysis of Goldman, Sachs & G Investment Company Bonds top (LQD) of the high-yield corporate bonds (ADM) shows that poor performance on the basis of the relative LQD mycin. As the relative strength of the molecular and denominator of the ratio measures, with the prediction of potential strength. In this view, the elements of the price path Bay, top of Goldman Sachs corporate bonds (LQD) is narrowing with the high-yield sub-parent bonds (ADM). Thus, at least in the short term, its meaning is ADM possible to overcome the LQD. Note: LQD price path in the horizontal direction is now quite neutral.

(2) Price behavior observation: Bay Goldman Sachs corporate bonds top (LQD), shows the direction of change in prices to a level road.

(3) The security requirements of the type of market condition monitoring (measured by cash flow) shows that the current market direction is likely to continue, because the changes in the cash flow is weak. This involves a strong inflow of funds into the stock market to go. However, this state depends on the results of the upcoming release of economic statistics.

(4) may be involved in: In order to set up observation LQD overall effect is neutral, nearly neutral long-term consequences, therefore, a potential trend of LQD, at least in the short term to remain neutral. Analysis of the relationship LQD ADM was useful as a confidence index. When the Bay Goldman Sachs corporate bonds top (LQD) were lower than high-yield corporate bonds on the basis of relative (ADM) pointed out that bond investors are optimistic about the economy as a whole, small enterprises, especially to grow.

Theme: Growth stocks and value stocks

(1) the relative strength observation: on the Dow Jones Wilshire Large Cap Growth (ELG) and the Dow Jones Wilshire Large value (ELV) and the relative strength analysis results show that the plate level, is to go beyond on the basis of relatively weak. As the relative strength of the molecular and denominator of the ratio measures, with the prediction of potential strength. In this observation, the economic growth of molecular Dow Jones Wilshire Large Cap (Vehicle level) price path is relative to increasing the denominator of the Dow Jones Wilshire Large Cap (ELV Directive) values. Thus, at least in the short term, its meaning is likely to catch up with weak plate level.

(2) Price behavior observation: the Dow Jones Wilshire Large Cap Growth (ELG) shows the direction of a price rise to continue.

(3) market demand for the type of security situation in observation (as measured by cash flow) shows that the current direction the market may continue to develop, because the change in monetary liquidity is too strong for ETF growth. This is in contrast to the weakest currency liquidity to the value of the ETF will be based on.

(4) may be involved in: the views of participation and announced a total of up to plate level, is optimistic about the consequences, therefore, there is a potential upward trend, at least in the short term license plate level. Vehicle-level analysis of ELV is useful as a confidence index. When the Dow Jones Wilshire Large Cap Growth (ELG), has exceeded the basis of relative market value of the Dow Jones Wilshire Large (weak), indicating that investors are optimistic about the economy as a whole, particularly small development of enterprises. If this observation is to determine the future economic indicators. At present, growth stocks outperformed value stocks in the performance of betting forecast, the U.S. short-term bottom of the economic recession. Let's take a look.

Observational study (Report No. RT-America.: Monetary transactions – the U.S. Securities and strategic position):

Topic: Gold and Economic

(1) the relative price of behavioral observations: Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (crown up), performers of the higher prices, now 3 months and 6 months, the relative profitability of 3 months is far from less than 6 months back. This shows that in March the 6-month return on month decline in the exchange rate returns. As the relative price performance assessment methods, the strength of capital flows, a safe, predictable potential. Thus, suggesting that Jinde far less than six months, with the historical performance expectations. Thus, at least in the short term, the consequence is, Kinder will continue to sustain the potential for poor performance. Gold's price action, as well as their derivatives, depending on future economic development.

(2) Observe the price behavior: Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (Kinder) shows that in the last quarter of 2008, changed to a more neutral the higher the profit, and in the first quarter of 2009. Although they have a more neutral price records, Rifkind still has seen a dramatic fluctuations in the 51, each of 15 U.S. dollars a year in the lowest on record.

(3) the security requirements of the type of market condition monitoring (by the cash-flow measurement) showed a continuing current levels of market potential, because the current is very weak. This significant change will happen, but if any weaknesses in the economy.

(4) may be involved in: In the full participation of the comments said that the market vectors gold miners ETF (Kinder) is neutral. Although much higher than in the past 6 months in other asset classes, your current performance shows that the majority of market participants on the current U.S. economic recession bottomed out betting.

Hedge: News, leave, or options

In any strategy that may involve the use of the position taken by the hazard warning, the exit strategy includes protection of leaves, or options. In addition, you may consider a lower starting position by protecting their funds can be placed (25% of the necessary funding for first). If you choose to use actual production stopped, but the recognition may mean tightening stop, "stop" often in a rapidly changing market fluctuations.

Additional notes:

First, the majority of investors are a diversified investment portfolio approach combining stocks, bonds, money market securities, is the best. Although economic diversification can not prevent losses in a falling market, can reduce portfolio volatility.

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3, these are usually refuse to apply: (1) fragment analysis of the company's policy prohibiting the purchase to the email has been sent to our user survey to inform employees of the securities reviewed in this article was published in time, but some employees may be value of the stock owned by SCR announced, (2) Since all Strategic Capital Research publications provide research work the use of historical data necessary to remind people that the past market response analysis can not predict future market action. In particular, no amount of historical data can predict the sudden changes, occasional financial markets. In both cases, the risk of the initial loss of capital losses and interest, we hope that prevention technologies, including the cessation of export strategy, in line with fluctuations in the title. An "Ultimate Collection", including the most advanced of these technologies is the output can be in the "strategy, according to the type" page in the SCR "strategy" as part of the SCR Web site:. We encourage you to explore and utilize the most advanced technology.

Tags: America, Bonds, Gold, high yield corporate bonds, LQD, price, relative strength analysis, stocks, U.S., U.S. Securities, USA